In the spring of 1976 the American Iron and Steel Institute called
upon Dr. Fletcher to develop an economic analysis of the Fifth
International Tin Agreement. During the prior three years the
rise of OPEC and an equally unprecedented rise in primary commodity
prices had profoundly effected industry perceptions of mineral
commodity markets. Fear was widespread of the apparent portent
of continuing high prices, artificially induced shortages, and
growing cartelization of many metallic commodities. In this context
the U. N. General Assembly devoted its Sixth Special Session (1974)
to problems in raw materials and, under pressure form developing
producing countries, formulated the concept of a New International
Economic Order. This manifesto expressed the desires of less
developed countries (LDC's) for greater control over their mineral
resources, a greater share in the benefits accruing from those
resources, and for a redistribution of income from developed consuming
countries to developing producing countries. The state was thus set
for renewed interest in the promotion of international commodity
agreements, which would help the LDCs fulfill these goals.
As a result, the International Bauxite Association, the Intergovernmental
Council of Copper Exporting Countries, the Primary Tungsten Association
and other groups gained new resolve in their efforts to promote such
agreements in their respective commodities.
In this environment of changing attitudes concerning the nature
of the free market in primary commodities, there arose two factors
of great importance concerning future developments. The United States
government, after a long history of opposition, expressed a willingness
to discuss U. S. involvement in international commodity agreements
(ICA's) on a case by case basis. In addition, the International Tin
Agreement was poised for renegotiation in May 1975. After almost
twenty years of existence, it had become a symbol of ICA's in the
area of metallic commodities and, as such, a testing ground for
the new U. S. foreign policy. At the time of this analysis, the
United States had signed the Fifth International Tin Agreement
(ITA-5) at the U. N., thus setting in motion the congressional
machinery of ratification.
This study examined the advantages and disadvantages of ITA-5
to the United States steel industry, evaluated the relative
importance of the advantages and disadvantages in light of the
past performance of other Tin Agreements, considered the possible
trends of future agreements and future actions, and examined the
desirability of using ITA-5 as a precedent for other international
commodity agreements.
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